Theory and Methods for Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking

Theory and Methods for Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking

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This report describes an approach to high-level decision support that deals explicitly with uncertainty in effects-based operations or planning future forces with the methods of capabilities-based planning. Two approaches are described, one using portfolio-style thinking and analysis, the other a novel modification of foresight exercises that addresses inclusion of humans in dealing with uncertainty. Some investment priorities are also recommended.Scenarios for Foresight In the absence of an accurate vision of the future, planners can construct one or more ... one that has proved useful in a number of domains and that has potentially useful applications for command decisionmaking.


Title:Theory and Methods for Supporting High Level Military Decisionmaking
Author: Paul K. Davis, James P. Kahan
Publisher:Rand Corporation - 2007
ISBN-13:

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